CNN Regards Tax Hikes as Inevitable for Deficit Reduction, 14 Apr 2011
11 Apr 2011 Update: It's Republicans vs. the Public Unions
in California, similar to the Wisconsin, New Jersey, etc., situations:
excerpt: DB: Many of the Republicans I talk to say that they’re not convinced that you’re serious about pension reform and about cutting the slack in government, cutting the bureaucracy down. They feel that you haven’t put forward, for example, a meaningful pension reform plan because of your connection to the unions.
JB: They have to say that to give cover to their position, which is ‘No’. Their position is ‘No, we’re not going to help you. We’re not going to do anything. Well, that’s unacceptable. I did propose 12 points of pension reform.
The governor tells Dave he believes the country hasn’t been this divided since the Civil War.
This week Brown has been using Civil War metaphors at his public events to describe the deep divisions in California, and the entire country for that matter, preaching with the passion of a born-again that the country is dangerously polarized.
“We are at a point of civil discord, and I would not minimize the risk to our country and to our state. It is not trivial. I’ve been around a long time, I’m a student of history, I’m a student of contemporary politics. We are facing what I would call a ‘regime crisis.’ The legitimacy of our very democratic institutions are in question,” he said.
10 Apr 2011 Update: The richest Americans are paying
only 15% tax, which is way below the rate they'd be charged
in other industrial countries:
have an Effective Tax Rate of only 17%, or less according to some
sources:
By Chye-Ching Huang and Chad Stone
October 27, 2008
excerpt: The U.S. corporate tax burden is smaller than average for developed countries.[1] Corporations in 19 of the member states of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development paid 16.1 percent of their profits in taxes between 2000 and 2005, on average, while corporations in the United States paid 13.4 percent.
excerpts: The Internal Revenue Service tracks the tax returns with the 400 highest adjusted gross incomes each year. The average income on those returns in 2007, the latest year for IRS data, was nearly $345 million. Their average federal income tax rate was 17 percent, down from 26 percent in 1992....There are so many breaks that 45 percent of U.S. households will pay no federal income tax for 2010, according to estimates by the Tax Policy Center, a Washington think tank....In all, the tax code is filled with a total of $1.1 trillion in credits, deductions and exemptions, an average of about $8,000 per taxpayer, according to an analysis by the National Taxpayer Advocate, an independent watchdog within the IRS.
35 percent tax rate is vastly overstated, many experts say, 17 Apr 2011
excerpts: Corporate America and Republicans often point to the United States as having among the highest tax rates in the world at about 35 percent, saying it makes the country less competitive and drives jobs overseas....
Looking at the Group of Seven industrialized countries, the U.S. rate is on par, according to the study. For example, Japan has about a 38.8 percent rate, Germany has a 27.9 percent rate and the United Kingdom has a 23.6 percent rate. McIntyre and a former Treasury official said the study included both current taxes and taxes on income that is deferred, which may never be subject to U.S. tax. "That makes the U.S. rate look higher than it actually is," McIntyre said.
6 Mar 2011 Update:
By Fareed Zakaria, 3 Mar 2011
excerpt: And neither side will even talk about tax increases, though it is impossible to achieve long-term fiscal stability without them.
5 Mar 2011 Update:
excerpt:
Eichengreen: I'm not a very good psychoanalyst, especially when it comes to Wall Street bond traders. But I worry that they will begin to distrust the US soon too. History has shown us that financial crises always happen close to elections. We have an important election coming up in 2012. If we haven't tackled our debt problem by then -- and it looks unlikely that we will -- then we will face serious problems.
SPIEGEL: US debt is currently at 90 percent of GDP, which is slightly above the European average...
Eichengreen: …which unfortunately is not the case when it comes to federal tax revenues in the US. Whereas European governments receive taxes equating to 40 percent of GDP, the figure is just 19 percent in the US. This means that, without raising taxes, we will not be in a position to balance our budget and pay back debts with interest. But because you can't talk about raising taxes in this country, the US will gamble away investors' trust.
Click for larger image. Here is the source.
SPIEGEL: Is there any desire in US political circles to do something about this problem? Just last December, President Barack Obama extended the Bush administration's tax cuts to 2012, even though tax cuts for the super-rich do nothing to stimulate the economy.
Eichengreen: You've answered your own question. This tax stimulus is very ineffective because it tears another hole in the budget and rich people are not inclined to spend the money that they save with the cuts. But the government has to find a way to boost the US economy -- to lower unemployment, which is at 9 percent, if nothing else. Equally important would be a clear statement from Obama and Congress about how they plan to tackle the debt problem in the medium-term. But instead of doing that, the administration and Congress have just pushed the problem further into the future -- foolishly to 2012, of all years. Believe me, it will be impossible to talk about this problem in an election year.
SPIEGEL: Are people in the US willing to save at all?
Eichengreen: We'll soon find out -- here in California. Some surtaxes are about to expire and Governor Jerry Brown proposes extending them. There's going to be a referendum on it. Californians are facing a decision that the whole of the US will soon have to make: either more taxes flow into government coffers or there will be less money available for universities, the socially disadvantaged, defense and so on. In California, we firmly believe that we lead the way for the rest of the country. It was true with surfing, and we hope it will be true with getting the country out of debt. [snip]
26 Jan 2011 Update:
Recently several states have had their credit
worthiness downgraded, and people realize the
US govt might soon be in the same boat--a "fiscal
reckoning," some have called it. It's come to the
point where the federal govt cannot keep borrowing
so it can run a bare minimum of social programs,
while simultaneously not taxing the "haves" until
they can feel it. So now one Republican is saying
congress should cut funding to education, housing,
food stamps, and even scrap the Consumer Product
Safety Commission, which is a boon for the poor and
the bane of manufacturers and retailers. Since Reagan's
time people could see the Republicans were pro-business,
but it didn't matter since the govt still helped the poor
to a great extent through borrowing. So why not vote for
Republicans since their party platform is Pro-Life and it
doesn't hurt the poor. No longer can people have it both ways,
and in this new zero-sum game, a vote for one party will
hurt the constituents of the other, and vice versa.
Original entry from 9 Jan 2011:
It took 72 years before communism fell because
a centralized economy is unworkable, but it had to
reach a certain level of absurdity for some duration
before most everyone agreed the experiment had failed.
Little mention is made of another economic experiment
that's on the opposite end of the spectrum, that being
whether a modern society can thrive for long on low
personal and corporate income taxes.
The idea was first implemented in 1925 through 1931
when the top tax rate in the US was reduced to
With the new low rate of taxation, the well-off had plenty
of money to speculate in the stock market, and historians
note what led to the big crash:
After giving the idea of low taxes more time to create
the promised prosperity during the first years Great
Depression, Congress finally lost faith and raised the
income tax rate in 1932.
The next period of low taxation came with the election
of Reagan, who predicted in 1981 that a tax rate reduction
by the end of the year. What ensued though was the worst
in the market on Black Monday. That, along with the crashes of
1929 and 2007 cement the idea that slashing tax rates for the wealthy
leads an unstable economy and inevitable stock market crashes.
on minarchism), is that if people can make and keep easy money, they'll
work harder to earn even more, and that's good for government revenues.
The trouble is that the high earners sock it all away, retire early (at 40 even),
and move to Arizona or Florida. Often, a high earning man will
marry a high earning woman, concentrating wealth, and then they
both retire without even having any children to carry on the next
generation. Talk about social un-sustainability! So instead of
harnessing greed for the greater good, the US has created an
entire generation of late blooming trust fund kids (trustafarians), and
trust fund kids seldom are accused of having too much ambition, except
when it comes to having fun.
In 1987 the top tax rate was reduced to 38.5%, and from
1988 to 1990 28%. From 1991 to 92 it was 31%. That's when
the early 1990s recession ensued. Since then until 2010 and
beyond, the top tax rate has hovered between 35% and 40%.
There was a recession in the early 2000s, and the Great Recession
from 2007 to 2009 and beyond. These recessions were caused
either by speculation in the stock market, financial sectors, or
from the 'haves" "parking" large amounts of money in various
sectors--housing, building and construction, banking, hedge
funds, commodities like oil, etc. One gets the idea that there's a
direction connection between recessions and preceding years of
low taxation.
In 2011 the low tax rates are becoming absurd because the
first Baby Boomers are turning 65 and are eligible for Medicare
and Social Security and full pensions. Also, in 2010, the US govt spent
$414 billion just on debt maintenance for the $14 trillion dollar debt,
which is 64% of the GNP. By contrast, the entire Dept of Education
budget is only $93 billion.
The results of giving out tax breaks not tied to job creation
in the US (of US citizens) has been catastrophic not only for
the economy, but for society. The GINI Index keeps on rising
in the US, meaning that fewer people own a greater proportion
of anything that's worth owning in the US. Due in large part to
the economic squeeze put on the lower middle class, 41% of
children are born out of wedlock. Not only does financial stress
put a strain on couples so they either don't marry or divorce,
but the "solution" many poor opt for is for one man or men to
pay court-ordered child support while the woman works and
Private sector union labor has declined greatly as good jobs
went overseas. The lower class must also take any job they
can get, such as flipping burgers. Minimum wage job used to
be $10 per hour (in 2009 dollars), but for the longest time
it headed toward $5. Lately there's been a small boost. Staying
on welfare means going to the unemployment office and
fulfilling their requirements, which has turned into a sort
of slave auction.
In the battle to keep taxes low, the next group to be laid low
will be the public sector unions, which includes teachers unions.
What forced the showdown between the "haves" and the
US public sector unions is the debt has grown so large
that the costs of servicing that debt may grow out of
hand, to the point that investors avoid buying US Treasury
bonds, similar to how Greece and Ireland reached junk bond
status. Also, it's come to this: either raise taxes, or humble
the one last group that can be humbled.
Public sector union members make at least a third more
than their counterparts in the private sector, according to
most studies, and have marvelous benefit and pension plans.
Also, the workload is light, they retire early, and it's next to
impossible to fire union members for performance reasons.
The reason is the politicians receive generous campaign
contributions from these unions, and would rather
put the country in greater debt than go head-to-head
with these unions and their lobbyists.
After the public service unions are humbled, it will become
apparent that US will continue to run up deficits and the debt
trying to educate its populace and keep it healthy enough
to remain competitive with other industrialized nations, since
other nations are doing an increasingly better job at that, and
at a lower cost.
The idea that low taxes causes longterm prosperity will go the
way of the idea of privatizing social security after so many
bank and stock market fiascoes. Thus, while it took 72 years
for the idea of communism to be largely discredited, it will
take 100 years or so for the idea to die that low taxes leads to
sustainable and longterm prosperity.
--------------
related:
SPIEGEL Interview with Economist Nouriel Roubini
excerpts:
SPIEGEL: And the bad news [about the American economy]?
Roubini: The persisting housing crisis, the implications of this on the financial condition of banks and, above all, the high public debt and deficit, both at the federal and state levels. The US is in a dilemma. In the medium term, there is no getting around budget consolidation, otherwise the country will be threatened by a debt crisis such as Europe is currently experiencing. However, given the weak recovery so far, the US must do all it can to boost economic growth.
SPIEGEL: Tax cuts for the super rich, which are part of President Barack Obama's tax package, are hardly going to create additional growth.
Roubini: And that's the heart of the problem. The plan is a complete waste of money. It's going to increase the deficit without doing anything to kick-start the economy. And, unfortunately, I don't see any chance of this fiscal stalemate changing significantly before the presidential elections in 2012. The White House and the Republican majority in Congress block each other's proposals, and there is no such thing as bipartisan crisis management in the US. I'm sure that the public debt of the US will eventually make the markets very nervous in the next few years.
SPIEGEL: Although the situation is actually better in the euro area, the euro is the target of attacks and not the dollar.
Roubini: The condition of the over-indebted states on the periphery of the euro area is similar to that of the US federal states, from California to Illinois.[snip]
(From the above Spiegel story):
(Click for larger image)
-------------
US Recessions
related:
1981
July 29: Congress passes Reagan’s tax bill. Instead of a 30% tax cut, Reagan accepts 25%. Reagan predicts the nation will be "seeing some signs" of prosperity by end of the year.
Another one of Reagan's more callous statements (below), as though
people weren't found guilty and go to jail before Reagan came to office.
Reagan was also the man who popularized the urban myth of welfare queens
getting rich using many assumed names and ID theft to double
and triple dip into the dole. It was reverse class warfare from the
presidential bully pulpit:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/41036993/ns/politics-more_politics/
Palin quoted former President Ronald Reagan as saying that "we must reject the idea that every time a law is broken, society is guilty rather than the lawbreaker." "It's time to restore the American precept that each individual is accountable for his actions," Palin continued, still quoting Reagan.
between 1990 and 1995 the United States fell to position 23 out of the 29 leading industrialized nations in terms of infant mortality. This country was ranked twentieth out of 29 in 1995 in terms of life expectancy for women and twenty-first in terms of life expectancy for men.”
Economists foretell of U.S. decline, China's ascension
(Government) workers of the world unite!
Public-sector unions have had a good few decades. Has their luck run out?
Public-sector workers Jan 6th 2011
http://www.economist.com/node/17849199/print
The widening fight against public-sector unions
by Jeff Jacoby, The Boston Globe, 9 Jan 2011
http://www.jeffjacoby.com/8596/the-widening-fight-against-public-sector-unions
----------
By John Hechinger - Dec 7, 2010
excerpt: Fifteen-year-olds in the U.S. ranked 25th among peers from 34 countries on a math test and scored in the middle in science and reading...The U.S. government considers the test one of the most comprehensive measures of international achievement. The results show that U.S. students must improve to compete in a global economy, Education Secretary Arne Duncan said yesterday in a telephone interview. President Barack Obama’s administration is promoting national curriculum standards and a revamping of teacher pay that stresses performance rather than credentials and seniority. “The brutal fact here is there are many countries that are far ahead of us and improving more rapidly than we are,” Duncan said. “This should be a massive wake-up call to the entire country.”
-------
The Financial Times article spares us the worst. It only includes public debt, but not gross debt. Gross debt means all the money that the govt owes in entitlements such as Medicare and Social Security. A lot of that money was paid into the system, but was used for other purposes. The FT article says debt was 62% of GDP in 2010, so that must be public debt. Gross debt was 83% in 2009. I read it's up to 88% of GDP in 2010:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/dd3ff74c-2272-11e0-b6a2-00144feab49a.html#axzz1BF8a3kqt
Our Absolutely Horrible Fiscal Situation (Now With Pictures!)
by PEJMAN YOUSEFZADEH on JANUARY 16, 2011
http://www.economywatch.com/economic-statistics/economic-indicators/General_Government_Gross_Debt_Percentage_GDP/
excerpt: Total Government Gross Debt (% of GDP) for United States in year 2009 is 83.214 %. See notes for: General government gross debt (National currency).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_public_debt
-------------------
By Nicole Bullock in New York
Published: January 17 2011
----------------
More discussion on low tax economies:
Empirical evidence shows that Reaganism's low taxation approach will lead to fiscal disaster for the US and all the states that try it. The Republicans can fool enough voters, but we've now come to the point where they'll have to convince investors in treasury bonds that their low taxation approach works, and the investors will have a good laugh when they try. The US will have to raise taxation rates just like Greece and Ireland did. Even the German govt had to shelve its campaign promises of lowering taxes to keep down borrowing costs and debt maintenance costs. Then the Republicans inter-generational theft will be complete when we have to pay for the baby boomers low taxation rates allowing them to build six- seven and eight-figure bank accounts (see links and excerpt below).
The Terminator (Gov of CA Arnold Schwarzenegger) was instrumental in lowering the amount of money CA spends on students because education is not a priority for Republicans. CA is 44th in the nation in funding schools on a per student basis! Naturally, it would head toward 44th position in achievement scores. One reason is that due to Republicans driving down taxes, CA has run up a large debt, and now $6 billion dollars per year go toward servicing debt, money that could have been spent on education. It's the same for the US debt where $500 billion per year go toward debt maintenance, as much as the entire defense budget! So even though CA has higher taxes, they weren't being spent in the right places. No wonder people were moving out of CA--so their kids could get a decent education, a situation brought to you by Republicans.http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1423724020091214
General fund debt service on outstanding bonds, authorized but unissued bonds and proposed water bonds is set to peak in fiscal 2020 at $10.45 billion, compared with a current level around $6 billion,http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704415104576065662426023264.html
Mr. Westerwelle, who serves as foreign minister and vice chancellor under Ms. Merkel, has drawn harsh criticism from within the pro-business Free Democratic Party and increasingly dire approval ratings after failing to follow through on a tax-cut pledge and other campaign promises.http://californiawatch.org/dailyreport/school-spending-falls-further-behind-rest-nation-2977
California now ranks 44th in how much it spends on its students – or $2,546 less than the average spent in the rest of the United States.
In fact, if Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has his way, California will fall even further behind the rest of the nation during the coming fiscal year.
Schwarzenegger is proposing to cut the basic amount school districts get for every student in attendance to $7,417, an 11 percent drop from $8,423 just two years ago (2008-09), according to a report by the legislative analyst's office.
-----------------------------
Eve more discussion on low tax economies:
The highest spending state, Vermont, is rated 30th in SAT scores nationwide. The lowest spending state, Utah, gets higher SAT scores from their students and is ranked 20th above Vermont. Far less money, higher score. The Best State (highest) SAT score comes from Iowa yet their spending of $9,977 per student is right in the middle at 25th and right at the national average of spending. The Worst State Sat score comes from Maine yet it spends the 5th most money in the nation.
Yet, raw SAT scores are not a valid indicator of educational value per buck just by itself because some states have high test participation rates, and some low. As soon as a state gets more students taking SATs, the lower that state's average SAT score is, even though high participation rates suggest a state is doing well at educating its kids. In states that don't educate well, fewer take the SATs or dream of going to college, but yet have a higher average SAT since fewer students take the test. That would handily explain Utah's high score despite low spending on education:
http://xenophilius.wordpress.com/2009/11/02/how-per-student-spending-on-education-compares-to-state-sat-score-rankings/
excerpt: Some states have low participation rates and arguably can tilt the field.
Utah spends the least on students, but gets a decent average SAT only because it has one of the lowest SAT participation rates--only 6% of students there take it, and most of those are the best and brightest. Some states have 85% or more of their students take the test, and naturally their SAT average is much lower even though they spend more per student. One study says these quirky statistics have led lawmakers to try to cut funding to schools saying more money doesn't help, and may even hurt:
http://blog.bestandworststates.com/2009/08/25/state-sat-scores-2009.aspx
http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1272/is_2679_130/ai_81110769/
Differences in parent income and parent education of the test takers accounted for 92% of the difference among states' average SAT scores. The 10 bottom-scoring states had more than 41 times as many test takers from families with incomes less than $10,000... This confusion can lead to erroneous policy decisions and false perceptions."
-------------
Global Debt Crisis
Jon Bruner, 20 Jan 2010
------------
JANUARY 25, 2011
By Stephen C. Fehr
---------------
Beating the Crisis
A commentary by Christoph Schwennicke, 18 Jan 2011
excerpts: Germany's economy is in good shape because it resisted the fashion of neoliberalism.
Like Kohl, the idea of secure government pensions -- defended most notably by Norbert Blüm and Rudolf Dressler, was likewise ridiculed as being too old-fashioned. The criticism was justified, but Germans forgot to take a critical view of the alternative. No one questioned the magic formulas of Schröder disciples Hans Martin Bury and others, with their momentous talk of "capital cover" and privatization. It was très chic, it promised to offer a solution, and anyone who questioned it was decidedly démodé.
Capital cover has since proven to be one of the most misleading terms of the last 20 years -- it is often the case that absolutely nothing is being covered at all. Germans were led to believe that all of the problems of the social security systems could be solved by eliminating the government's stranglehold on them. In return, policy holders would have to allow financial service providers to invest their money in the capital market.
The term "capital cover" was misleading in three ways. First, it covered up the fact that contributors must contribute fresh money of their own. Second, there was the risk inherent in the capital market. Finally, there was the question of who consistently benefits from this new system.
The risks have since caught up with the new system and, in the course of the financial crisis, brought down its apologists along with the economy. Hans Martin Bury, after serving as Schröder's right-hand man at the Chancellery, worked as an investment banker at Lehman Brothers, the firm whose bankruptcy triggered the financial crisis. Private health insurance companies face precisely the same problems -- obsolescence and financial difficulties -- as their competitors in the statutory health insurance system because, on the one hand, their hand-picked, young, healthy and dynamic clientele has become older and more susceptible to illness and, on the other hand, the return on their reserves is stagnating.
The capital cover system is consuming its own children, which anyone who has been caught up in the current trend of offsetting a private loan with the supposed panacea of life insurance can appreciate. Nowadays, financial advisors are embarrassed when asked about their past recommendations.
The government cannot safeguard your pensions; that's something only private financial service providers can do, Gerhard Schröder insinuated, and too few citizens sufficiently questioned this assertion. Although it wasn't the intention, the outcome was that financial entrepreneurs like Schröder's old friend, AWD founder Carsten Maschmeyer, profited handsomely from the policy while the problems of the social security system remained unsolved. Politicians and the public had succumbed to the promises of a financial industry that benefited from these innovations. A critical look at the annual statements of the new fangled pensions, known as Riester pensions in Germany, and the pension insurance system reveals that the government pension system is clearly a sad affair with a deplorable rate of return on investment. But the Riester pension also falls well short of promises. Its introduction 10 years ago constituted an admission of the complete failure of the government system. A decade later, the capital-covered Riester pension itself has also proven to be a failure.
Common sense has since taken over. Many people are dissolving their Riester contracts prematurely, preferring to take a loss than to continue filling up a barrel that could also spring a leak. The Riester pension has proven to be just as precarious as government pensions. Nevertheless, when it comes to insurance policies designed to cover old age care, capital cover is once again being considered as an option. Insurance agents are already salivating at the prospect.
Siren Songs
The capital cover trend went hand-in-hand with the privatization trend. "Privatize it!" was the rallying cry of the reformers, who stigmatized the state as a money-gobbling Moloch and led us to believe that we would be better off allowing free market forces to do their magic. Municipalities and cities succumbed to this siren song when it came time to fund public projects like streetcars and waste incineration plants. In the end, there was only one winner in this dodgy scenario known as "cross-border leasing," and it wasn't the municipalities.
Financial desperation prompted cities like Berlin to pursue the seemingly sexy idea of privatizing many municipal services, including the water supply. It had less to do with the free market economy than with the idea of a planned economy, because it became known that Berlin's agreement with the private purchaser included a clause that allowed it to raise water prices and guaranteed it high returns.
The fact that the German rail company Deutsche Bahn is currently capitulating in the face of winter is a result of the delusional notion of its former chairman that he could privatize the government-run operation and become the head of one of the top companies listed on the German stock exchange, the DAX. In pursuing this goal, Hartmut Mehdorn cut operating costs to such an extent as to render it partially inoperable. Anyone who still believes that a private railway is more effective than a government-owned one should take a train in England and then in Switzerland. The railroad, local public transportation and the water supply are better left in government hands. In this area, a government monopoly is always the lesser evil.
It was the in thing, and there were many who made a pile of money putting this particular bug into politicians' ears. Now none of this can be reversed, but a new year is the perfect time to make resolutions. One resolution would be to learn a lesson from this experience and not to succumb so readily to the nonsense of political fashions, which are all too often controlled by business interests. These days, Germany is not proving to be the fallen superstar, as it was described in bestsellers. And the new superpower, China, does not derive its strength from an unleashed neoliberalism, but from a rigorous, post-socialist neo-statism, which justifiably runs up against democratic constraints in Europe.
Because it has maintained a more resilient industrial mix and prepared itself more effectively for the future than the Anglo-Saxon model, which had established the fashion trends of the last 30 years and had looked down on Germany with a mixture of pity and arrogance. Because smokestacks continue to belch smoke and assembly lines continue to run in Germany, and because Germany makes real products instead of packaging financial products until they are no longer recognizable.
Fortunately, Germany has succumbed only partially to the political trend of neoliberalism, and it has not been completely transformed the way Great Britain, once such an important role model, was. It is now becoming clear that a new statism is needed, and that nothing is as sturdy as a strong and solvent government.
Even though it has weaknesses and is better off not playing the investment banker, as in the case of the ill-fated state-owned banks, only a government and not a consortium of investors, no matter how large, ultimately has the strength and the endurance to overcome the sort or crisis we have experienced since the 2008 crash. Even more importantly, only the state acts with democratic legitimacy. Finally, and most importantly, only the state has the ability to ascend above particular interests and keep an eye on the common good.
--------------------
Here's an example of how Republican governors increase the
debt load of states by cutting the taxes of the "haves," leading
to hikes in debt maintenance costs and reduction of services.
Most of the governors, like the US presidents, were Republican,
and were unwilling to raise taxes, nor spend less on programs and
entitlements they liked. A rule of thumb is if the program benefits
the "have nots," Republicans don't like it, an exception being
No Child Left Behind:
Through 10 years and three governors, Wisconsin's IOUs are 87% higher
By Steven Walters
Nov. 26, 2007
excerpts: ...state government slid 87% deeper in long-term debt over the past 10 years.
That decade spans the leadership of Democratic Gov. Jim Doyle and Republicans Scott McCallum and Tommy G. Thompson. The 87% increase was three times the U.S. inflation rate over that period.
Figures show that debt rose the most - by $1.8 billion- under [Republican] Thompson between 1996 and 2001, when he resigned to become a cabinet secretary for President Bush...
Also rising is annual debt-service payments on those bonds...That $874 million is cash that can't be used for other important programs. By comparison, that amount is close to what it cost to run the state's prison system last year.
Officials say there are several reasons for the soaring debt:
• Hemmed in by past no-tax-increase promises, legislators and governors have instead OK'd record borrowing to have the best of both election-year worlds - continued spending for popular programs while pushing paying for those programs off into the future.
But a major bond agency, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, last week frowned at the state's finances - including the growing debt load and an emergency fund of less than 1%. The agency changed its rating outlook from "positive" to "stable," but did not downgrade its ratings for specific bond issues.
It's another reason Wisconsin has the largest deficit of any state, under the so-called generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP, system of budgeting, Berry noted.
-------------
Yacht Building Business in Germany Booms
By Janko Tietz
-------------
It take a recession and a jobless recovery for some to finally
see the damage that tax breaks without conditions does to the US.
If multi-national corporations headquartered in America no longer
have most of their employees in the US, they should be considered
foreign companies, and should not have the same access to the
political system and government contracts that domestic companies
do. If they threaten to leave entirely, that's fine since basically
they are just showing their true face.
American businesses that once hired American workers to make
and export products are fast becoming mere importers, yet they
retain the facade of being an American business. IBM, Apple,
General Electric and Dell all fall into this category. Even the ships
carrying their products to US shores fly foreign flags. Then they
have the audacity to complain that their taxes are too high, even
though US corport tax rates are about as low as they get for any
industrialized nation. Even more infuriating is the Republicans
are naive enough to lower their taxes, or at least keep them low,
even as the nation faces record deficits and record debt
maintenance costs:
Business Is Booming: America's leading corporations have found a way to thrive even if the American economy doesn't recover. This is very, very bad news.
By Harold Meyerson, 28 Jan 2011
excerpts: When he was CEO of General Electric, in 1998, Jack Welch pithily summarized his vision for corporate America: "Ideally, you'd have every plant you own on a barge to move with currencies and changes in the economy."
Since then, corporations have discovered that they don't need barges in order to unmoor themselves from the American economy. As corporate profits skyrocket, even as the economy remains stalled in a deep recession, Americans confront a grim new reality: Our corporations don't need us anymore. Half their revenues come from abroad. Their products, increasingly, come from abroad as well....
Indeed, the number of [Chinese] Foxconn employees who assemble these companies' products often exceeds by a wide margin the number of workers these companies employ directly in the United States. At Apple, the ratio of Foxconn employees at work on Apple products to U.S.-based Apple employees is 10-to-1: 250,000 Foxconn workers to 25,000 Apple workers. The same ratio exists at Dell.
...the most widely admired American companies, such as Apple, Hewlett-Packard, and General Electric...Their zeal for offshoring has lowered the prices of the goods Americans buy while increasing our trade deficit, shrinking our manufacturing sector, and flattening our wages...With each passing year, and even more so during the recession, America's leading corporations grow more and more decoupled from the American economy. Their interests grow increasingly detached from those of our workers, our consumers -- and our economic future....
The implications of this shift in the conduct of American big business are profound -- and terrifying. At a time when small business can't expand because high unemployment and the decline of home values have depressed consumer demand, big business is increasingly committed to expanding its sales and production abroad rather than at home. That's why the current downturn is different from its predecessors: Unlike any recession in American history -- including the Great Depression -- this one has come at a time when America's leading employers can return to profitability without rehiring large numbers of American workers....
But there's another way to look at the recession...it's the cumulative consequence of our leading banks and corporations investing in job-creating enterprises abroad rather than in the U.S. Thus, the disjuncture between the record-high profits of American corporations and the otherwise dismal indices of national economic health....[By contrast with the American banks, German] banks are restricted to doing business in their regions; they have to concentrate on the real [local] economy"....
A growing number of pension funds are investing in infrastructure projects alongside governments, though much of it is abroad: CalPERS, the nation's largest pension fund, owns almost 13 percent of London's Gatwick Airport. What we need to bring such investments home are infrastructure banks, on both the federal and state level, that could leverage public and private funds for infrastructure projects in the U.S....
This rise in profits, however, has not been accompanied by a rise in employment, wages, or national income....The multinationals' profits depend not just on their sales and production overseas but also on reducing labor costs in the U.S. by pushing down wages and the size of their U.S. workforce...With small business floundering at home, and big business flourishing abroad, where, exactly, will the economic recovery come from? Who will do the hiring?...
But keeping labor costs low in the U.S. -- by avoiding rehiring, substituting temporary for fulltime workers, increasing productivity, depressing wages, and shifting employment abroad -- can be an ongoing boost to a company's bottom line, particularly if its revenues increasingly derive from foreign rather than domestic consumers. America's leading employers are pursuing all of these strategies....
The high level of joblessness has obscured another troubling story: the declining incomes of the employed. The median annual wage of American workers declined by $159 in 2009 from the previous year, to a mere $26,261 (that means half of all employed American workers make even less than that). The hourly wage for new hires in manufacturing plants, both union and nonunion, today is roughly $15 -- about half of what it was just a few years ago....Employers have been free to impose the costs of the recession and the costs of doing business [e.g., healthcare costs] on their workers -- and keep all the proceeds for themselves....
The hiring that is going on, moreover, isn't located in the higher-wage manufacturing sector, which has been declining steadily as a percentage of the workforce as a result of both offshoring and productivity increases....The recovery, in other words, is every bit as alarming as the recession. The America emerging from the financial crisis of 2008 is distinctly downwardly mobile....
What this means is that the equilibrium between production, pay, and purchasing -- the equilibrium that Henry Ford famously recognized when he upped his workers' wages to an unheard-of $5 a day in 1914, the equilibrium that became the model for 20th-century American capitalism -- has been shattered. Making and selling their goods abroad, U.S. multinationals can slash their workforces and wages at home while retaining their revenue and increasing their profits. And that's exactly what they've done....
Another alternative to economic stagnation is a massive dose of investment in America's increasingly decrepit infrastructure, where employment is by its nature tied to place. Much of the funding would have to come from the government, but by no means all....
In the absence of private-sector hiring, the recession will just keep rolling along unless the government radically shifts its trade and industrial policies and expands its own role in creating jobs...Grove proposes we levy a tax on imports from offshored labor and direct the proceeds to the kind of innovative high-tech company that he once led -- if and only if such companies mass-produce their inventions here in the U.S. Tax credits for domestic manufacturing and job creation, tax cuts for corporations that invest and hire at home, and "Buy America" stipulations for government procurement are other ways to bolster domestic manufacturing and the creation of good jobs in the U.S. No such provisions, however, were included in the semi-stimulus package of tax-cut extensions that the White House negotiated with congressional Republicans in December....
In an impressive display of industrial-strength chutzpah, corporate America is now demanding lower tax rates even as it daily disinvests in its home country. Worse yet, the new Congress seems likely to grant its wish -- lowering taxes indiscriminately on those rare corporations that invest in America and on those more numerous corporations that abandon it. Is it too much to ask of the government that it discriminate between friend and foe? How about rewarding companies that pledge, as Siemens, Daimler, and BMW have in their own country, to keep or create a specified number of highly skilled jobs here at home? How about mandating, as Germany has, that companies put worker representatives on their boards, as a means of slowing corporate flight? America's economic decline is at bottom institutional, and reversing it requires institutional solutions that change the structure of American corporations.
Absent such reforms, the future trajectory of American corporations is clear. They will drift off, each on their barges, leaving behind them an America receding into penury and squalor.
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More discussion:
Charts and articles that rate US states based on "business climate" are really just propaganda since, for example: 1) all the waste and such it points out are just trivialities, 2) CA had low unemployment (5.8%) up until 2008 and the Great Recession and is doing just fine regardless of its supposed business climate, and 3) every state in the US already has the lower taxes than the rest of the developed world. Therefore, the chart for business climate should be turned on its head and all those states with lower taxes ought to be upping their taxes so the US can catch up with Europe which is ahead of the US in every conceivable measure: universal education, universal healthcare, universal employment (Europe has lower unemployment than the US, with only the PIIGS countries being the exceptions), European countries have lower debt with even the PIIGS countries have lower debt than the US, with Greece, Italy and maybe there's another exception. Ireland has lower debt, but it had a temporary cash flow problem, but only because it bailed out its banks.
What's going on with CA and WI and other states is debt maintenance is taking up more and more of the budget (4% of budget in WI, and 6.7% in CA), and it's come to the point where they have to make big cuts in services or raise taxes, because they can't borrow any more--SAYS the bond ratings agencies. They just downgraded California's debt to lower than Greece's which means its below junk bond status (i.e., not investment grade) and Wisconsin's was downgraded from "positive" to "stable."
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http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-04-01/california-debt-beats-greece-s-in-bond-sales-credit-markets.html
Debt service as a ratio of the general fund is 6.7 percent, according to Treasurer Bill Lockyer.
Moody’s Investors Service rates California’s debt Baa1, its third-lowest level of investment grade, while Greece is ranked two steps higher at A2.
Wisconsin news:
http://www.jsonline.com/news/wisconsin/29332524.html
About 4% of all general-fund spending this year will go to pay off state debt,
But a major bond agency, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, last week frowned at the state's finances - including the growing debt load and an emergency fund of less than 1%. The agency changed its rating outlook from "positive" to "stable," but did not downgrade its ratings for specific bond issues.
BBC News - Greek bonds rated 'junk' by Standard & Poor's
Apr 27, 2010 ... If it reaches junk status, a country loses its investment grade status. ... Greece's 2-year government bond yield surged to almost 15% on ...
news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8647441.stm
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Wisconsin protests at the state Capitol pit a new wave of tea party-inspired Republicans against Democrats defending their most cherished ideals. It's a political drama that echoes across the country and could play out again across the newly 'red' Midwest.
By Patrik Jonsson, Staff writer / February 18, 2011
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Governors push layoffs, givebacks to close $124B in budget gaps
FEBRUARY 20, 2011, BY JACK TORRY, THE COLUMBUS DISPATCH
excerpt: Because every state except Vermont requires a balanced budget, governors and legislators face a stark choice: cut spending or raise taxes. But some Democratic governors are taking a different approach than Republicans.
In New York, Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo wants to lay off 9,800 state workers and freeze salaries. In California, Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown is calling for steep cuts in education and health care while asking voters in June to extend for five years a series of tax increases.
And in Illinois, Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn has tried to close a $15 billion deficit by pushing through the legislature an increase in the state income tax to back a plan to issue $8.75 billion in bonds. The money would be used to pay what the state owes to schools and health-care providers.
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State employees, which in many states include teachers
since the state pays part of their salary, pensions and health
benefits, constitute a large part of the populace. In Wisconsin
there are 300,000 state employees out of 5 million people, so
that's one out of every 16 people. Due to such ratios, if state
employees are overpaid or have a defined-benefit healthcare
plan, it can quickly become burdensome on the public, as in
NY state, according to the NY Times:
NYT: If Public Employee Costs Aren't Reined In New York
Won't be Able to Provide Essential Services
excerpt: At a time when public school students are being forced into ever more crowded classrooms, and poor families will lose state medical benefits, New York State is paying 10 times more for state employees’ pensions than it did just a decade ago.
That huge increase is largely because of Albany’s outsized generosity to the state’s powerful employees’ unions in the early years of the last decade, made worse when the recession pushed down pension fund earnings, forcing the state to make up the difference...most state employees pay only 3 percent of their salaries to their pensions, half the level of most state employees elsewhere. Their health insurance payments are about half those in the private sector.In all, the salaries and benefits of state employees add up to $18.5 billion, or a fifth of New York’s operating budget. Unless those costs are reined in, New York will find itself unable to provide even essential services.
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Shiller: Income Inequality Is A Problem That Could Be ‘Bigger Than This Whole Financial Crisis’
excerpt: ...it’s going to create resentment and hostility. It’s not a country that — we could turn into a country that even the rich would rather not be in.... In 2007, the last year for which data is available, executives and other highly compensated employees received more than one-third of all pay in the U.S.
http://thinkprogress.org/2011/01/31/income-inequality-egypt/#
Currently, the top one percent of households make nearly 25 percent of the total income in the country, after they made less than 10 percent in the 1970′s. Between 1980 and 2005, “more than 80 percent of total increase in Americans’ income went to the top 1 percent.”
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US Approaching Insolvency, Fix To Be 'Painful': Fisher
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42209447
excerpt: The United States is on a fiscal path towards insolvency and policymakers are at a "tipping point," a Federal Reserve official said on Tuesday.
"If we continue down on the path on which the fiscal authorities put us, we will become insolvent, the question is when," Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher said in a question and answer session after delivering a speech at the University of Frankfurt.
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As income disparity grows in US, millionaires and business
professors come clean about barely paying any taxes,
and they follow the tax code, taking advantage of loopholes:
By Tomoeh Murakami Tse, Washington Post Staff Writer, June 27, 2007
excerpt: Buffett cited himself, the third-richest person in the world, as an example. Last year, Buffett said, he was taxed at 17.7 percent on his taxable income of more than $46 million. His receptionist was taxed at about 30 percent....The rich can take advantage of tax loopholes, including one that allows those managers to pay the capital gains tax rate of 15 percent instead of the ordinary top income tax rate of 35 percent.
by Justin Wolfers, May 1, 2008
excerpt: Now, I’m no Warren Buffett (believe me!), but I’ve just finished figuring out my federal taxes for the year. I live comfortably (one of the virtues of teaching in a business school), but was dismayed to learn that my federal taxes for 2007 amount to only 16 percent of my income.
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They worry that the cuts will undermine the quality of their local districts, 24 Mar 2011
excerpt: "I voted for him because I wanted some restraint on frivolous spending," Blaha told The Associated Press, adding that he now regrets his vote. "I did not anticipate that he considered education a frivolity."
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By Kevin Martinez
5 June 2009
excerpt: One of the testimonies from the speakers mentioned how a $300 million cut to bus transportation would leave many children stranded without the means to get to school from home.
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Ambulance firms try to lure cash-strapped cities, challenging unions
By Dan Levine and Martha Graybow, 17 Apr 2011
SAN FRANCISCO/NEW YORK — For-profit ambulance companies present American communities with an offer that's hard to refuse these days.
They will take over 911 emergency rescue service at little or no charge to cash-short cities and counties and promise to bring down labor costs spent on public employees....For the men and women in fire departments, this is no drill. With fewer fires to fight as building codes have improved, providing emergency medical service has become a big part of what they do.
The upshot has been numerous clashes pitting private players against fire chiefs and the influential union, the International Association of Fire Fighters.
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excerpt: “As town halls across America erupt in anger over a plan to slash spending, Republicans find themselves under fire.”
It also says two-thirds of the savings that you want to make in spending cuts come at the expense of programs designed for the poor, for the disadvantaged. And this is reverse Robin Hoodism, if you like – take from the poor, give back to the rich again.
I think there should be more taxes on the very rich. They’re doing incredibly well in this economy, but it is going to be about more taxes on the middle class, including consumption taxes.
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By Spencer Jakab, April 29 2011
excerpt: People are afraid that the US is in for a Japan-style decades long recession, or non-growth, or 1970s Carter-era stagflation. Now no president can come along and artificially stimulate the economy with deficit spending like Reagan did due to the high national debt. He didn't fix any FUNDAMENTAL economic problems, it seems, but only made the situation much worse using Voodoo economics.
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